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CheckWeather USMission
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Mission weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 102° in Mission today. Tomorrow looks showers around 100°, with a 88% chance of rain.

102°81°
100°81°
100°80°
102°81°
99°81°
100°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
101°
Mostly clear
Today 101°·Low 82°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
103°
Cloudy
Today 103°·Low 80°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
101°
Light drizzle
Today 101°·Low 81°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mission and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
102° 81°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
100° 81°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
102° 81°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
99° 81°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
100° 81°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
99° 82°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
97° 82°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
98° 81°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
97° 79°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
92° 78°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 77°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
92° 78°
±4°

Mission, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mission right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mission climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
55°
Feb
77°
58°
Mar
84°
65°
Apr
86°
68°
May
93°
75°
Jun
98°
79°
Jul
96°
79°
Aug
99°
79°
Sep
96°
78°
Oct
88°
70°
Nov
79°
63°
Dec
75°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mission?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F87±3.9 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°101° to 103°±62%9% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°100° to 101°±70%18% to 88% chance
Mon±1°100° to 101°±64%12% to 76% chance
Tue±3°100° to 103°±61%12% to 73% chance
Wed±4°97° to 102°±59%21% to 80% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mission

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mission today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mission today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mission today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mission and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mission?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mission (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mission?
August is typically the warmest month in Mission, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Mission get?
The coldest month in Mission is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Mission get?
Mission sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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