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CheckWeather USMidland
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Midland weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Midland today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 95°, with a 14% chance of rain.

98°75°
95°75°
94°75°
96°75°
96°76°
97°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 76°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Light drizzle
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Midland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
98° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
95° 75°
models agree
Mon
Clear
94° 75°
models agree
Tue
Clear
96° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
96° 76°
models agree
Thu
Clear
97° 76°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
99° 77°
models agree
Sat
Clear
99° 77°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 73°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 70°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 67°
±16°
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 66°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
85° 67°
models agree
Fri
Clear
88° 68°
models agree

Midland, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Midland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Midland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
35°
Feb
65°
40°
Mar
72°
47°
Apr
80°
54°
May
88°
64°
Jun
97°
72°
Jul
97°
74°
Aug
99°
77°
Sep
89°
68°
Oct
82°
59°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
63°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Midland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F95±1.7 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°97° to 98°±53%2% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±1°95° to 96°±10%4% to 14% chance
Mon±3°92° to 95°±15%1% to 16% chance
Tue±1°96° to 97°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°96° to 97°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Midland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
20:07
Daylight
12h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Midland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Midland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Midland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Midland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Midland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Midland (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Midland?
August is typically the warmest month in Midland, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Midland get?
The coldest month in Midland is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Midland get?
Midland sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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