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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Mentor weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Mentor today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain.

63°43°
66°45°
64°51°
58°47°
63°45°
69°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
64°
Clear
Today 64°·Low 41°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Clear
Today 65°·Low 41°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Clear
Today 61°·Low 47°·Rain 0%
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Mentor weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Mentor…

Mentor weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Mentor swings 58°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 21°F lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 76 days a year at 77°F or above, 12 of them at 86°F or above, 98 frost nights, and rain on 172 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
21°F average low
Wettest month
September
43 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and October
Residents
47,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
76 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
98 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
172 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Mentor’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mentor and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mentor hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mentor 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
63° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
66° 45°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
58° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 45°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
69° 51°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
64° 52°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
67° 52°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
68° 55°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
62° 49°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
52° 42°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
48° 41°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
53° 43°
±8°

Mentor, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 21°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mentor right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mentor climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
22°
Feb
38°
21°
Mar
44°
29°
Apr
56°
38°
May
67°
50°
Jun
75°
59°
Jul
79°
64°
Aug
77°
63°
Sep
72°
57°
Oct
60°
46°
Nov
48°
35°
Dec
37°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mentor has changed since 1995

Mentor sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Euclid. That square ran 1.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Euclid page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mentor?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.4 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°61° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°63° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°62° to 65°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°57° to 59°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°61° to 66°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mentor

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:30
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mentor today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Mentor today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mentor today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Mentor on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mentor?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mentor (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mentor?
July is typically the warmest month in Mentor, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Mentor get?
The coldest month in Mentor is February, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Mentor get?
Mentor sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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