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Medford weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Medford swings 60°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 32°F lows in December, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 121 days a year at 77°F or above, 76 of them at 86°F or above, 54 frost nights, and rain on 108 days.
Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
December
32°F average low
Wettest month
December
26 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
80,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
121 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
54 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
108 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Medford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Medford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Medford hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Medford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
69°35°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68°43°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
56°41°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
59°39°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
59°41°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
58°38°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
59°37°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
61°37°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
64°39°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
64°44°
±10°
Tue
Mostly clear
63°44°
±18°
Wed
Light drizzle
60°42°
±14°
Thu
Cloudy
61°47°
±10°
Medford, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 32°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Medford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
48°
34°
Feb
51°
33°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
62°
41°
May
71°
47°
Jun
81°
52°
Jul
92°
59°
Aug
90°
60°
Sep
81°
55°
Oct
67°
44°
Nov
53°
37°
Dec
45°
32°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Medford's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.8°F
Around Medford, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2015.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
7 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 more nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.3°F
−12
−22
+1%
1996
+0.1°F
+5
−17
+7%
1997
−0.6°F
−12
−1
−4%
1998
−1.0°F
+4
−17
+1%
1999
−1.0°F
−6
+12
+7%
2000
−0.6°F
−11
−1
−4%
2001
−0.1°F
−6
+5
+1%
2002
+0.3°F
+4
−2
+1%
2003
+0.8°F
+7
−16
−4%
2004
+0.8°F
−2
−18
−4%
2005
−0.1°F
−1
−3
+1%
2006
−0.1°F
+1
+3
+1%
2007
−0.8°F
−10
+6
−4%
2008
−1.0°F
+6
+24
+1%
2009
−0.5°F
+10
+25
+1%
2010
−1.4°F
−7
−7
+1%
2011
−2.1°F
−7
+22
−4%
2012
−0.8°F
−3
+8
+1%
2013
−1.0°F
−5
+20
−4%
2014
+1.9°F
+1
−19
+1%
2015
+2.4°F
+5
−26
−4%
2016
+0.6°F
−1
−18
+1%
2017
+0.3°F
+6
−1
+7%
2018
+0.8°F
+4
−4
−4%
2019
−0.3°F
−10
+4
+1%
2020
+0.8°F
+5
+14
−4%
2021
+0.8°F
+12
+9
+1%
2022
+0.8°F
+13
+13
+1%
2023
+0.1°F
−2
+28
+1%
2024
+1.0°F
+12
−20
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Medford, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Medford?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
78±2.2°F
96±1.2 mph
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
85
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F
94±2.0 mph
8994% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°69° to 70°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±3°66° to 69°
±16%16% to 32% chance
Mon
±7°52° to 59°
±19%39% to 58% chance
Tue
±5°55° to 61°
models agree8% to 8% chance
Wed
±4°57° to 61°
±6%4% to 10% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Medford
today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
10h 40m
Common questions
What's the weather in Medford today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Medford today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 32% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Medford today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Medford on Sunday, October 25: NWS 32%, American 32%, European 16%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Medford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Medford (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Medford?
July is typically the warmest month in Medford, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Medford get?
The coldest month in Medford is December, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Medford get?
Medford sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Medford getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Medford, 2015-2024 averaged 0.8°F warmer than 1995-2004.
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