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CheckWeather USMedford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Medford weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Medford today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 69°, with a 59% chance of rain.

72°48°
69°53°
76°49°
85°52°
93°58°
92°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Cloudy
Today 72°·Low 49°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 47°·Rain 16%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Light drizzle
Today 71°·Low 48°·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Medford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
72° 48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
69° 53°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
76° 49°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 52°
models agree
Wed
Clear
93° 58°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 63°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
81° 60°
±11°
Sat
Clear
80° 53°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
83° 55°
±10°
Mon
Mostly clear
84° 57°
±14°
Tue
Mostly clear
81° 57°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
85° 56°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
78° 55°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 52°
±7°

Medford, OR is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 32°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Medford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Medford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
35°
Feb
50°
32°
Mar
52°
32°
Apr
61°
40°
May
72°
48°
Jun
83°
54°
Jul
96°
63°
Aug
91°
61°
Sep
81°
55°
Oct
69°
46°
Nov
52°
36°
Dec
49°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Medford?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F91±3.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°71° to 75°±21%16% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±4°67° to 71°±33%26% to 59% chance
Mon±2°75° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°84° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°92° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Medford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Medford today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Medford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Medford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Medford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Medford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Medford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Medford?
July is typically the warmest month in Medford, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Medford get?
The coldest month in Medford is February, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Medford get?
Medford sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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