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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Mansfield weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Mansfield today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 76°, with a 4% chance of rain.

79°65°
76°58°
77°57°
81°58°
85°69°
76°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Showers
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 65°·Rain 68%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Thunderstorm
Today 79°·Low 65°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mansfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
79° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
76° 58°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 58°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
85° 69°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
76° 65°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
75° 57°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
78° 61°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 65°
±9°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
78° 63°
±13°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 55°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
66° 50°
models agree
Thu
Clear
67° 50°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
71° 52°
models agree

Mansfield, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mansfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mansfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
26°
Feb
47°
28°
Mar
50°
32°
Apr
62°
43°
May
71°
52°
Jun
78°
60°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
51°
37°
Dec
42°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mansfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F96±1.3 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°77° to 80°±32%68% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°75° to 77°±3%1% to 4% chance
Mon±3°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°80° to 83°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±3°84° to 86°±2%25% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mansfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:56
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mansfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mansfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mansfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mansfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mansfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mansfield (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mansfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Mansfield, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Mansfield get?
The coldest month in Mansfield is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Mansfield get?
Mansfield sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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