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CheckWeather USManhattan

Manhattan weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manhattan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Manhattan, IL is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 22°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manhattan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manhattan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
22°
Feb
45°
27°
Mar
50°
31°
Apr
61°
40°
May
73°
52°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
51°
36°
Dec
41°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Manhattan today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manhattan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manhattan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manhattan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manhattan?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Manhattan forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Manhattan?
June is typically the warmest month in Manhattan, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Manhattan get?
The coldest month in Manhattan is January, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Manhattan get?
Manhattan sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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