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CheckWeather USManchester
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Manchester weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Manchester's high today between 70° and 74°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 70°, with a 100% chance of rain.

72°60°
70°56°
77°53°
79°58°
73°56°
80°63°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Light rain
Today 70°·Low 60°·Rain 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 61°·Rain 27%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Drizzle
Today 73°·Low 61°·Rain 99%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manchester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
72° 60°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
70° 56°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 58°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
73° 56°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
80° 63°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
74° 58°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 54°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
81° 57°
±13°
Mon
Drizzle
82° 61°
±12°
Tue
Drizzle
75° 59°
±8°
Wed
Showers
72° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 53°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree

Manchester, NH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 21°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manchester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manchester climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
23°
Feb
40°
21°
Mar
45°
29°
Apr
57°
37°
May
69°
48°
Jun
77°
57°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
77°
61°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
40°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manchester?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.6 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 74°±72%27% to 99% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree70° to 70°±47%53% to 100% chance
Mon±1°76° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±2°77° to 80°±14%0% to 14% chance
Wed±2°72° to 74°±11%40% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manchester

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manchester today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manchester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manchester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manchester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manchester?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manchester (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manchester?
July is typically the warmest month in Manchester, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Manchester get?
The coldest month in Manchester is February, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Manchester get?
Manchester sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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