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CheckWeather US›Hawaii›Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 83°, with a 42% chance of rain.

85°69°
83°69°
83°67°
77°67°
79°73°
79°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Cloudy
Today 86°·Low 70°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Light drizzle
Today 84°·Low 67°·Rain 47%
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Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale swings 21°F across the year, from 87°F highs in August to 66°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 31 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 347 days a year at 77°F or above, 88 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 89 days.

Warmest month
August
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
66°F average low
Wettest month
December
31 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
January and February
Residents
46,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
347 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
89 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
85° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
83° 69°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
83° 67°
models agree
Tue
Showers
77° 67°
±5°
Wed
Showers
79° 73°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 74°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
81° 73°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
82° 72°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 71°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
80° 72°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
78° 72°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
79° 71°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
80° 71°
models agree

Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale, Hawaii (HI) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 66°F), with roughly 31 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
77°
66°
Feb
78°
68°
Mar
79°
68°
Apr
80°
69°
May
81°
70°
Jun
84°
72°
Jul
86°
73°
Aug
87°
73°
Sep
87°
73°
Oct
85°
72°
Nov
83°
71°
Dec
79°
67°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale has changed since 1995

Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Honolulu. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Honolulu page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F88±3.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
53
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F91±2.8 mph548% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°84° to 86°±13%34% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±1°83° to 84°±1%41% to 42% chance
Mon±2°82° to 84°±9%26% to 35% chance
Tue±5°75° to 80°±24%63% to 87% chance
Wed±7°75° to 82°±16%74% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 83°, with a 42% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale on Sunday, October 25: American 41%, European 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 47%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 53. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale?
August is typically the warmest month in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale get?
The coldest month in Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale is January, when overnight lows average about 66°F.
How much rain does Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale get?
Makakilo / Kapolei / Honokai Hale sees roughly 31 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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