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CheckWeather USMadera
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Madera weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Madera today. Tomorrow looks clear around 88°, with a 0% chance of rain.

88°60°
88°62°
91°60°
97°62°
101°72°
105°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±13°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Mostly clear
Today 87°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Clear
Today 89°·Low 61°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Madera and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
88° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
88° 62°
models agree
Mon
Clear
91° 60°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
97° 62°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 72°
±13°
Thu
Mostly clear
105° 75°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 72°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
94° 65°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
91° 61°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 61°
±13°
Tue
Clear
95° 63°
±16°
Wed
Cloudy
100° 64°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
99° 68°
±6°
Fri
Clear
97° 65°
models agree

Madera, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 105°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Madera right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Madera climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
40°
Feb
58°
39°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
48°
May
82°
55°
Jun
92°
63°
Jul
105°
72°
Aug
100°
69°
Sep
92°
63°
Oct
84°
55°
Nov
66°
43°
Dec
60°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Madera?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F96±1.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°87° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°89° to 93°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±8°92° to 100°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±13°95° to 107°±1%8% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Madera

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Madera today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Madera today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Madera today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Madera and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Madera?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Madera (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Madera?
July is typically the warmest month in Madera, with average highs around 105°F.
How cold does Madera get?
The coldest month in Madera is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Madera get?
Madera sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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