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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Lubbock weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Lubbock today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 68°, with a 82% chance of rain.

73°58°
68°62°
66°60°
72°58°
75°59°
72°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Partly cloudy
Feels 57° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Mainly clear
Feels 55° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Overcast
Feels 57° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for Lubbock: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 61° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 59° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 60° Overcast.

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Lubbock weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lubbock…

Lubbock weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lubbock swings 61°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 31°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 185 days a year at 77°F or above, 115 of them at 86°F or above, 46 frost nights, and rain on 58 days.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
June
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
249,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
185 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
46 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
58 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lubbock’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lubbock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lubbock hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lubbock 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
73° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
68° 62°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 58°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
75° 59°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
72° 59°
±6°
Fri
Light rain
69° 60°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
75° 60°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
73° 59°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 53°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
68° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 51°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
64° 51°
models agree

Lubbock, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lubbock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lubbock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
53°
31°
Feb
59°
34°
Mar
66°
41°
Apr
75°
49°
May
82°
58°
Jun
89°
67°
Jul
92°
69°
Aug
92°
69°
Sep
83°
61°
Oct
74°
51°
Nov
62°
40°
Dec
53°
32°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Lubbock's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.3°F

Around Lubbock, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average1996: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2005: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2007: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2012: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

12 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −17 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: −18 vs the 30-year average1998: +20 vs the 30-year average1999: −10 vs the 30-year average2000: +24 vs the 30-year average2001: +12 vs the 30-year average2002: −13 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: −19 vs the 30-year average2005: −27 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −47 vs the 30-year average2008: −21 vs the 30-year average2009: −9 vs the 30-year average2010: −20 vs the 30-year average2011: +50 vs the 30-year average2012: +25 vs the 30-year average2013: +0 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −16 vs the 30-year average2016: −8 vs the 30-year average2017: −14 vs the 30-year average2018: +19 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: +25 vs the 30-year average2021: −15 vs the 30-year average2022: +32 vs the 30-year average2023: +26 vs the 30-year average2024: +28 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

10 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −8 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: +18 vs the 30-year average1998: −4 vs the 30-year average1999: −14 vs the 30-year average2000: +8 vs the 30-year average2001: +2 vs the 30-year average2002: +16 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: −13 vs the 30-year average2006: −9 vs the 30-year average2007: +14 vs the 30-year average2008: +7 vs the 30-year average2009: +9 vs the 30-year average2010: +9 vs the 30-year average2011: +8 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: +24 vs the 30-year average2014: +8 vs the 30-year average2015: +1 vs the 30-year average2016: −15 vs the 30-year average2017: −23 vs the 30-year average2018: +7 vs the 30-year average2019: +7 vs the 30-year average2020: −9 vs the 30-year average2021: −15 vs the 30-year average2022: +16 vs the 30-year average2023: −17 vs the 30-year average2024: −29 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: −0% vs the 30-year average1998: −3% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +4% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: −5% vs the 30-year average2006: −3% vs the 30-year average2007: −7% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: +6% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +4% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.6°F−17−8−0%
1996−0.3°F−1+7+2%
1997−2.6°F−18+18−0%
1998+1.2°F+20−4−3%
1999+0.3°F−10−14+2%
2000+0.3°F+24+8+4%
2001+0.3°F+12+2−3%
2002−1.0°F−13+16+2%
2003+0.4°F−6+2+2%
2004−1.5°F−19−9−3%
2005−1.0°F−27−13−5%
2006+0.6°F−5−9−3%
2007−2.6°F−47+14−7%
2008−1.2°F−21+7+4%
2009−0.8°F−9+9−3%
2010−1.7°F−20+9−0%
2011+1.7°F+50+8+6%
2012+1.7°F+25−7−0%
2013−0.8°F+0+24+2%
2014−1.2°F−6+8+2%
2015−0.8°F−16+1−3%
2016+1.0°F−8−15−0%
2017+0.8°F−14−23+2%
2018+0.3°F+19+7+2%
2019−0.1°F+8+7+2%
2020+1.3°F+25−9+4%
2021+0.4°F−15−15−0%
2022+1.2°F+32+16+2%
2023+2.1°F+26−17−3%
2024+2.8°F+28−29−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Lubbock, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lubbock?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°72° to 75°±1%5% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°67° to 69°±19%63% to 82% chance
Mon±2°65° to 67°±18%51% to 69% chance
Tue±3°71° to 74°±23%29% to 52% chance
Wed±2°74° to 76°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lubbock

today, local time
Sunrise
07:59
Sunset
19:03
Daylight
11h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lubbock today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Lubbock today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 68°, with a 82% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lubbock today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Lubbock on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 63% (NWS 63%, American 63%, European 82%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 6%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lubbock?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lubbock (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lubbock?
July is typically the warmest month in Lubbock, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Lubbock get?
The coldest month in Lubbock is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Lubbock get?
Lubbock sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Lubbock getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Lubbock, 2015-2024 averaged 1.3°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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