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CheckWeather USLincoln
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 8°F

Lincoln weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Lincoln's high today between 90° and 98°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 95°, with a 45% chance of rain.

95°75°
95°75°
97°75°
102°78°
89°71°
89°63°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±13°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 74°·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
95° 75°
±8°
Tomorrow
Showers
95° 75°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
97° 75°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
102° 78°
±12°
Wed
Drizzle
89° 71°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
89° 63°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 69°
±12°
Sat
Drizzle
88° 67°
±12°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
69° 61°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 54°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 55°
±7°
Wed
Clear
78° 56°
models agree
Thu
Clear
80° 58°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 60°
models agree

Lincoln, NE is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
18°
Feb
48°
26°
Mar
52°
31°
Apr
66°
44°
May
77°
55°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
86°
67°
Aug
86°
67°
Sep
83°
62°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
53°
36°
Dec
42°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°90° to 98°±54%1% to 55% chance
Tomorrow±4°94° to 98°±21%24% to 45% chance
Mon±2°96° to 99°±3%13% to 16% chance
Tue±12°97° to 109°±14%59% to 73% chance
Wed±13°83° to 96°±4%55% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:52
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
June is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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