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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lincoln Park weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Lincoln Park today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 4% chance of rain.

67°51°
71°52°
62°54°
63°53°
70°56°
70°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Mainly clear
Feels 54° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 51° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Overcast
Feels 51° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 79%

Latest for Lincoln Park: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Overcast.

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Lincoln Park weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lincoln Park…

Lincoln Park weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lincoln Park swings 57°F across the year, from 78°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 72 days a year at 77°F or above, 16 of them at 86°F or above, 102 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
78°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
August
41 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
67,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
72 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
102 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
131 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lincoln Park’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lincoln Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lincoln Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lincoln Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
67° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 52°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
62° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
63° 53°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 56°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
70° 56°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
67° 54°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
69° 56°
±9°
Sun
Drizzle
65° 56°
±8°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
60° 46°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 43°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
53° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 46°
±14°

Lincoln Park, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lincoln Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lincoln Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
21°
Feb
37°
21°
Mar
44°
30°
Apr
55°
38°
May
62°
46°
Jun
73°
58°
Jul
78°
65°
Aug
78°
65°
Sep
71°
58°
Oct
59°
45°
Nov
46°
35°
Dec
36°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lincoln Park has changed since 1995

Lincoln Park sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Chicago. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Chicago page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln Park?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F93±2.3 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F93±2.1 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°66° to 68°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±6°69° to 74°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±2°61° to 63°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°61° to 65°±21%1% to 22% chance
Wed±4°68° to 73°±15%5% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln Park

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln Park today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Lincoln Park today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lincoln Park today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Lincoln Park on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (NWS 4%, American 4%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln Park (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln Park?
July is typically the warmest month in Lincoln Park, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Lincoln Park get?
The coldest month in Lincoln Park is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Lincoln Park get?
Lincoln Park sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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