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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Lincoln weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Lincoln today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 83°, with a 1% chance of rain.

82°54°
83°59°
89°57°
94°63°
99°72°
103°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 56°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
82° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
83° 59°
models agree
Mon
Clear
89° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
94° 63°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
99° 72°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
103° 75°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
95° 72°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
89° 66°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
87° 63°
±8°
Mon
Clear
88° 62°
±12°
Tue
Mostly clear
90° 63°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 65°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
95° 67°
±7°
Fri
Clear
92° 66°
models agree

Lincoln, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 102°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
42°
Feb
56°
40°
Mar
59°
44°
Apr
70°
47°
May
80°
54°
Jun
91°
61°
Jul
102°
69°
Aug
96°
67°
Sep
89°
62°
Oct
80°
56°
Nov
62°
44°
Dec
57°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F97±1.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°80° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°82° to 84°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°88° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°92° to 96°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±10°95° to 105°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
July is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 102°F.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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