Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USLexington-Fayette
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lexington-Fayette weather

Loading live data…

Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Lexington-Fayette today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 83°, with a 31% chance of rain.

91°73°
83°69°
87°62°
86°68°
90°71°
87°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Clear
Feels 75° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Clear
Feels 73° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Clear
Feels 72° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 41%

Latest for Lexington-Fayette: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 76° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 75° Clear · European (ECMWF): 76° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lexington-Fayette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
91° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
83° 69°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
87° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
86° 68°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
90° 71°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
87° 71°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
83° 65°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
87° 64°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
90° 70°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 66°
±19°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 60°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 55°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 52°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
77° 54°
models agree

Lexington-Fayette, KY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lexington-Fayette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lexington-Fayette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
67°
46°
May
75°
56°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
87°
67°
Aug
85°
65°
Sep
81°
61°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lexington-Fayette?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°91° to 92°±38%52% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°83° to 84°±15%16% to 31% chance
Mon±2°86° to 87°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°84° to 88°±28%0% to 28% chance
Wed±1°90° to 91°±9%4% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lexington-Fayette

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
20:01
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lexington-Fayette today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lexington-Fayette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lexington-Fayette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lexington-Fayette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lexington-Fayette?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lexington-Fayette (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lexington-Fayette?
July is typically the warmest month in Lexington-Fayette, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Lexington-Fayette get?
The coldest month in Lexington-Fayette is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Lexington-Fayette get?
Lexington-Fayette sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather