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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Leander weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Leander today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

82°59°
79°60°
78°56°
77°61°
80°62°
80°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Clear
Feels 66° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Fog
Feels 60° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 100%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Clear
Feels 66° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Leander: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Fog · European (ECMWF): 64° Clear.

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Leander weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Leander…

Leander weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Leander swings 53°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 41°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 215 days a year at 77°F or above, 127 of them at 86°F or above, 12 frost nights, and rain on 111 days.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
41°F average low
Wettest month
June
37 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
59,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
215 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
12 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
111 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Leander’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Leander and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Leander hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Leander 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 61°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
80° 63°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
76° 64°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
81° 64°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 67°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
78° 62°
±8°
Tue
Mostly clear
75° 55°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 56°
±5°

Leander, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Leander right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Leander climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
60°
41°
Feb
65°
45°
Mar
70°
50°
Apr
76°
58°
May
82°
66°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
93°
72°
Aug
94°
72°
Sep
87°
67°
Oct
79°
59°
Nov
67°
49°
Dec
61°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Leander has changed since 1995

Leander sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cedar Park. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Cedar Park page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Leander?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F94±1.9 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°82° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°78° to 79°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tue±2°76° to 78°±28%11% to 39% chance
Wed±1°80° to 81°±19%5% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Leander

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
11h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Leander today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Leander today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Leander today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Leander on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leander?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leander (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leander?
August is typically the warmest month in Leander, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Leander get?
The coldest month in Leander is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Leander get?
Leander sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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