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Lakewood weekend weather

This weekend in Lakewood, CO, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 95° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Light drizzle
High 90°·Low 62°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Partly cloudy
High 91°·Low 68°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Clear
High 91°·Low 60°·Rain 16%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Clear
High 98°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Mostly clear
High 98°·Low 72°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Mostly clear
High 100°·Low 62°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±9°88° to 96°±70%20% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±4°86° to 90°±38%39% to 77% chance
Sat±1°90° to 91°±18%16% to 34% chance
Sun±2°98° to 100°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±5°97° to 102°±8%16% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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