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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Lafayette weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Lafayette today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 77% chance of rain.

89°76°
90°74°
93°76°
92°76°
90°75°
90°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 76°·Rain 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 75°·Rain 69%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 76°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lafayette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
89° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 74°
models agree
Mon
Showers
93° 76°
models agree
Tue
Showers
92° 76°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 75°
±5°
Thu
Showers
90° 75°
models agree
Fri
Thunderstorm
91° 76°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
90° 75°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 76°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
91° 76°
±7°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
89° 74°
±7°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
89° 71°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
90° 67°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
91° 66°
±4°

Lafayette, LA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lafayette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lafayette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
46°
Feb
68°
51°
Mar
73°
56°
Apr
77°
61°
May
85°
69°
Jun
91°
75°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
89°
72°
Oct
82°
63°
Nov
72°
57°
Dec
65°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lafayette?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F93±2.2 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°87° to 90°±31%69% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°90° to 91°±62%15% to 77% chance
Mon±1°93° to 94°±36%42% to 78% chance
Tue±3°91° to 93°±22%58% to 80% chance
Wed±5°88° to 93°±20%55% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lafayette

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lafayette today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lafayette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lafayette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lafayette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lafayette?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lafayette (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lafayette?
August is typically the warmest month in Lafayette, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Lafayette get?
The coldest month in Lafayette is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Lafayette get?
Lafayette sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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