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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Lafayette weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Lafayette today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

90°73°
80°66°
80°59°
85°62°
88°72°
80°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Clear
Feels 74° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Clear
Feels 71° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 55%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Clear
Feels 74° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 61%

Latest for Lafayette: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 73° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 73° Clear · European (ECMWF): 74° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lafayette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
90° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 66°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 62°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 72°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 65°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
82° 59°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
85° 65°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
87° 66°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
78° 63°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 56°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
70° 52°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 51°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 54°
±4°

Lafayette, IN is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lafayette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lafayette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
49°
29°
Mar
53°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
75°
55°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
67°
49°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
43°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lafayette?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F96±1.3 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°88° to 92°±55%16% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°79° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°80° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°83° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°85° to 90°±13%12% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lafayette

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lafayette today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lafayette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lafayette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lafayette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lafayette?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lafayette (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lafayette?
June is typically the warmest month in Lafayette, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Lafayette get?
The coldest month in Lafayette is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Lafayette get?
Lafayette sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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