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Weather in Knoxville tomorrow

Tomorrow's forecast for Knoxville, TN from every major model, so you can see whether they agree before you plan around it.

Tomorrow

Tomorrow in this area the models centre on about 89°. Model agreement is medium — likely, but keep a backup plan.

Tomorrow

2026-07-31 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Partly cloudy
High 88°·Low 63°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
High 91°·Low 63°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Cloudy
High 87°·Low 66°·Rain 0%

The models range from 87° to 91°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°82° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°87° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sat±1°82° to 83°±18%60% to 78% chance
Sun±7°82° to 90°±26%62% to 88% chance
Mon±3°84° to 87°±16%50% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain tomorrow?
None of the models are showing a high chance of rain tomorrow, and they broadly agree, so the dry forecast is reasonably safe to plan around.
How accurate is a one-day forecast?
A one-day-ahead forecast is the most reliable one you will get — in our own testing, temperature error at 24 hours is well under half what it is at seven days. That is why tomorrow's forecast is worth trusting when the models agree, and worth questioning when they do not.

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