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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Kirkland weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Kirkland's high today between 53° and 60°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 56°, with a 51% chance of rain.

56°40°
56°44°
57°44°
56°45°
52°45°
51°42°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Cloudy
Today 56°·Low 41°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 41°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Cloudy
Today 53°·Low 39°·Rain 16%
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Kirkland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Kirkland…

Kirkland weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kirkland swings 43°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 34°F lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 38 days a year at 77°F or above, 6 of them at 86°F or above, 35 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
34°F average low
Wettest month
November
41 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
87,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
38 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
35 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
159 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kirkland’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kirkland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kirkland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kirkland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
56° 40°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
56° 44°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
57° 44°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
56° 45°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
52° 45°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
51° 42°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
51° 40°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
52° 37°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
54° 38°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
55° 41°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
56° 41°
±6°
Wed
Light rain
55° 42°
±8°
Thu
Showers
56° 49°
±5°

Kirkland, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 34°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kirkland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kirkland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
46°
35°
Feb
46°
34°
Mar
52°
37°
Apr
56°
42°
May
64°
46°
Jun
69°
51°
Jul
77°
55°
Aug
76°
57°
Sep
70°
54°
Oct
61°
47°
Nov
50°
39°
Dec
44°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kirkland has changed since 1995

Kirkland sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Seattle. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Seattle page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kirkland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°53° to 60°±8%8% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±6°53° to 59°±12%39% to 51% chance
Mon±2°57° to 58°±13%18% to 31% chance
Tue±4°54° to 57°±3%22% to 25% chance
Wed±5°50° to 55°±16%33% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kirkland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kirkland today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Kirkland's high today between 53° and 60°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 56°, with a 51% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kirkland today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kirkland on Sunday, October 25: NWS 51%, American 51%, European 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kirkland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kirkland (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kirkland?
July is typically the warmest month in Kirkland, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Kirkland get?
The coldest month in Kirkland is February, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Kirkland get?
Kirkland sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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