NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Kearney today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 62°, with a 89% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories
Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Kearney…
Kearney weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Kearney swings 67°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 18°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 119 days a year at 77°F or above, 51 of them at 86°F or above, 121 frost nights, and rain on 81 days.
Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
27 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
33,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
119 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
121 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
81 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kearney’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Kearney and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Kearney hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Kearney 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
67°48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
62°46°
±12°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
63°52°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
64°43°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
69°51°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
70°53°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
70°55°
±11°
Sat
Light drizzle
65°53°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
62°44°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
61°43°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
58°40°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
60°41°
±18°
Thu
Cloudy
62°41°
±18°
Kearney, Nebraska (NE) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kearney right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
33°
18°
Feb
42°
20°
Mar
52°
30°
Apr
62°
39°
May
72°
51°
Jun
81°
61°
Jul
85°
65°
Aug
84°
64°
Sep
77°
55°
Oct
63°
42°
Nov
48°
30°
Dec
37°
21°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Kearney's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°F
Around Kearney, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
6 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
4 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°F
+2
+2
+0%
1996
−3.3°F
−18
+15
−2%
1997
−1.0°F
−1
+7
−2%
1998
+0.7°F
+4
−9
−4%
1999
+0.8°F
−9
−8
+2%
2000
+0.7°F
+21
+3
+0%
2001
+0.8°F
+15
+0
−2%
2002
+0.7°F
+29
+8
+4%
2003
+0.7°F
+9
−3
−2%
2004
+0.3°F
−12
−10
−2%
2005
+0.7°F
−4
−8
+0%
2006
+1.4°F
+4
+0
+2%
2007
−0.4°F
−16
−6
+0%
2008
−2.6°F
−15
+21
+2%
2009
−2.8°F
−19
+7
−2%
2010
−1.0°F
−16
+1
−2%
2011
−1.0°F
−3
+6
−2%
2012
+3.7°F
+30
−24
+2%
2013
−0.4°F
+13
+22
+6%
2014
−1.5°F
−10
+10
+4%
2015
+1.2°F
−2
−21
+0%
2016
+1.9°F
−5
−20
+0%
2017
+0.7°F
−1
−16
−2%
2018
−2.0°F
−11
+22
−2%
2019
−2.8°F
−20
+17
+0%
2020
+0.3°F
−1
+10
+2%
2021
+1.0°F
−6
−14
−2%
2022
+0.8°F
+26
+7
+6%
2023
+1.4°F
+2
+5
−8%
2024
+2.3°F
+1
−24
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kearney, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Kearney?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F
98±0.7 mph
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
71
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F
95±1.7 mph
4771% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°65° to 68°
±33%34% to 67% chance
Tomorrow
±12°56° to 69°
±11%78% to 89% chance
Mon
±7°59° to 66°
±8%86% to 94% chance
Tue
±6°61° to 67°
±26%23% to 49% chance
Wed
±6°65° to 71°
±4%19% to 23% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Kearney
today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:42
Daylight
10h 45m
Common questions
What's the weather in Kearney today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 67° in Kearney today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 62°, with a 89% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kearney today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kearney on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 78% (NWS 78%, American 78%, European 89%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 67%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kearney?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kearney (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kearney?
July is typically the warmest month in Kearney, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Kearney get?
The coldest month in Kearney is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Kearney get?
Kearney sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Kearney getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kearney, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
