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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Kalihi-Palama weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Kalihi-Palama today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 81°, with a 41% chance of rain.

83°73°
81°73°
81°71°
77°71°
79°74°
79°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Light drizzle
Today 83°·Low 72°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 74°·Rain 2%
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Kalihi-Palama weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Kalihi-Palama weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kalihi-Palama swings 19°F across the year, from 84°F highs in August to 65°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 312 days a year at 77°F or above, 19 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 102 days.

Warmest month
August
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
65°F average low
Wettest month
December
32 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
44,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
76/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
312 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
102 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kalihi-Palama’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kalihi-Palama and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kalihi-Palama hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kalihi-Palama 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
83° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
81° 73°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
81° 71°
±5°
Tue
Heavy showers
77° 71°
±6°
Wed
Showers
79° 74°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
79° 76°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
79° 76°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 75°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
81° 75°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 75°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 74°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
80° 73°
models agree

Kalihi-Palama, Hawaii (HI) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 65°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kalihi-Palama right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kalihi-Palama climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
76°
65°
Feb
76°
67°
Mar
77°
67°
Apr
78°
68°
May
79°
69°
Jun
81°
71°
Jul
83°
72°
Aug
84°
73°
Sep
84°
73°
Oct
84°
71°
Nov
80°
70°
Dec
78°
66°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kalihi-Palama has changed since 1995

Kalihi-Palama sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Honolulu. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Honolulu page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kalihi-Palama?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F83±5.2 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F90±3.0 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree83° to 83°±32%2% to 34% chance
Tomorrow±2°79° to 82°±41%0% to 41% chance
Mon±5°79° to 84°±20%6% to 26% chance
Tue±6°73° to 80°±56%31% to 87% chance
Wed±7°75° to 82°±26%64% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kalihi-Palama

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kalihi-Palama today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Kalihi-Palama today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 81°, with a 41% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kalihi-Palama today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kalihi-Palama on Sunday, October 25: American 41%, European 0%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 34%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kalihi-Palama?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kalihi-Palama (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kalihi-Palama?
August is typically the warmest month in Kalihi-Palama, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Kalihi-Palama get?
The coldest month in Kalihi-Palama is January, when overnight lows average about 65°F.
How much rain does Kalihi-Palama get?
Kalihi-Palama sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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