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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Jackson weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Jackson today. Tomorrow looks showers around 97°, with a 65% chance of rain.

93°73°
97°74°
98°76°
96°75°
94°75°
93°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
94°
Light drizzle
Today 94°·Low 75°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 73°·Rain 22%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 72°·Rain 63%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Jackson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
93° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
97° 74°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
98° 76°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
96° 75°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 75°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 75°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
94° 74°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 75°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 75°
±11°
Tue
Drizzle
90° 74°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 67°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 66°
models agree
Fri
Clear
89° 65°
models agree

Jackson, MS is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jackson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Jackson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
39°
Feb
66°
46°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
74°
55°
May
83°
64°
Jun
89°
69°
Jul
91°
73°
Aug
95°
74°
Sep
87°
68°
Oct
80°
57°
Nov
70°
51°
Dec
61°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jackson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F95±1.5 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°93° to 94°±41%22% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±2°96° to 98°±55%10% to 65% chance
Mon±1°97° to 98°±8%4% to 12% chance
Tue±7°94° to 101°±26%7% to 33% chance
Wed±5°92° to 97°±27%8% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jackson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jackson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Jackson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jackson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Jackson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jackson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jackson (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jackson?
August is typically the warmest month in Jackson, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Jackson get?
The coldest month in Jackson is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Jackson get?
Jackson sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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