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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Irvine weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Irvine today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°57°
80°58°
80°62°
77°60°
76°61°
74°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 94%

Latest for Irvine: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Irvine weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Irvine weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Irvine swings 36°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 47°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 12 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 126 days a year at 77°F or above, 29 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 41 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
47°F average low
Wettest month
February
12 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
257,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
126 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
41 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Irvine’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Irvine and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Irvine hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Irvine 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
80° 58°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 60°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 61°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
74° 61°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
71° 62°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
71° 61°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
73° 61°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
75° 62°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 65°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 63°
models agree

Irvine, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 47°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Irvine right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Irvine climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
48°
Feb
63°
47°
Mar
64°
50°
Apr
70°
53°
May
71°
57°
Jun
75°
59°
Jul
83°
62°
Aug
81°
62°
Sep
81°
63°
Oct
78°
57°
Nov
72°
51°
Dec
65°
47°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Irvine has changed since 1995

Irvine sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Santa Ana. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Santa Ana page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Irvine?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F94±2.0 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
61±3.9°F97±1.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°75° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°79° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°74° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°72° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Irvine

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Irvine today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Irvine today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Irvine today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Irvine on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Irvine?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Irvine (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Irvine?
July is typically the warmest month in Irvine, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Irvine get?
The coldest month in Irvine is February, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Irvine get?
Irvine sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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