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CheckWeather USIowa City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Iowa City weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Iowa City today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 85°, with a 6% chance of rain.

91°73°
85°69°
83°65°
95°66°
85°70°
82°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Partly cloudy
Today 92°·Low 72°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Partly cloudy
Today 93°·Low 74°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Thunderstorm
Today 89°·Low 71°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Iowa City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
91° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
85° 69°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
83° 65°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
95° 66°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
85° 70°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 63°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
87° 61°
±20°
Sat
Showers
85° 65°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
78° 63°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
72° 56°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 53°
±13°
Wed
Mostly clear
73° 49°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
74° 52°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
70° 57°
models agree

Iowa City, IA is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Iowa City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Iowa City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
18°
Feb
45°
24°
Mar
50°
32°
Apr
62°
41°
May
75°
54°
Jun
83°
64°
Jul
82°
65°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
79°
59°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Iowa City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°89° to 93°±55%4% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±4°83° to 87°±3%3% to 6% chance
Mon±1°82° to 83°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±6°93° to 99°±4%25% to 29% chance
Wed±5°82° to 86°±20%63% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Iowa City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Iowa City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Iowa City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Iowa City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Iowa City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Iowa City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Iowa City (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Iowa City?
June is typically the warmest month in Iowa City, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Iowa City get?
The coldest month in Iowa City is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Iowa City get?
Iowa City sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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