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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Hoboken weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Hoboken today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

62°41°
65°41°
69°48°
59°49°
57°43°
64°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Partly cloudy
Today 61°·Low 44°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
63°
Cloudy
Today 63°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
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Hoboken weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Hoboken…

Hoboken weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hoboken swings 60°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 102 days a year at 77°F or above, 34 of them at 86°F or above, 81 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
July
47 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
102 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
81 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hoboken’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hoboken and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hoboken hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hoboken 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
62° 41°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 41°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 48°
models agree
Tue
Clear
59° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
57° 43°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
64° 49°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
68° 53°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
62° 50°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
63° 55°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 51°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
54° 44°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 43°
models agree

Hoboken, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hoboken right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hoboken climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
60°
41°
May
70°
52°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
85°
67°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
67°
48°
Nov
53°
37°
Dec
43°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hoboken has changed since 1995

Hoboken sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as New York City. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the New York City page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hoboken?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F89±3.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°65° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°58° to 61°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°55° to 59°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hoboken

today, local time
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
10h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hoboken today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Hoboken today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hoboken today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Hoboken on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hoboken?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hoboken (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hoboken?
July is typically the warmest month in Hoboken, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Hoboken get?
The coldest month in Hoboken is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Hoboken get?
Hoboken sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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