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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Hawthorne weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Hawthorne's high today between 73° and 79°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain.

76°55°
78°58°
76°62°
76°61°
74°61°
72°62°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 58°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 55°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Partly cloudy
Today 75°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Hawthorne weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Hawthorne…

Hawthorne weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hawthorne swings 32°F across the year, from 76°F highs in August to 44°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 14 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 65 days a year at 77°F or above, 9 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 34 days.

Warmest month
August
76°F average high
Coldest month
December
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
14 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
88,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
65 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
34 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hawthorne’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hawthorne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hawthorne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hawthorne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
76° 55°
±6°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
78° 58°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
76° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 61°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 61°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 62°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
69° 63°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
69° 62°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
72° 61°
±13°
Mon
Cloudy
73° 62°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
73° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree

Hawthorne, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 76°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 44°F), with roughly 14 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hawthorne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hawthorne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
48°
Feb
63°
48°
Mar
63°
52°
Apr
65°
52°
May
68°
59°
Jun
72°
61°
Jul
74°
61°
Aug
76°
63°
Sep
76°
64°
Oct
71°
55°
Nov
69°
50°
Dec
60°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hawthorne has changed since 1995

Hawthorne sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hawthorne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F95±1.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
69
/100rank #2
25±7.5°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°73° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±5°75° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°73° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°71° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hawthorne

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hawthorne today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Hawthorne's high today between 73° and 79°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 78°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hawthorne today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Hawthorne on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hawthorne?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Hawthorne (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hawthorne?
August is typically the warmest month in Hawthorne, with average highs around 76°F.
How cold does Hawthorne get?
The coldest month in Hawthorne is December, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Hawthorne get?
Hawthorne sees roughly 14 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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