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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Hattiesburg weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Hattiesburg today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°50°
77°50°
78°51°
79°51°
80°53°
81°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Clear
Today 79°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Clear
Today 76°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Hattiesburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hattiesburg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hattiesburg swings 54°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 40°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 57 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 207 days a year at 77°F or above, 124 of them at 86°F or above, 12 frost nights, and rain on 143 days.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
February
57 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, November and December
Residents
47,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
207 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
12 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
143 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hattiesburg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hattiesburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hattiesburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hattiesburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
78° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
80° 53°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 49°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 53°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
82° 57°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
82° 59°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 58°
±7°
Tue
Clear
75° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
75° 48°
±7°
Thu
Clear
76° 50°
±10°

Hattiesburg, Mississippi (MS) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hattiesburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hattiesburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
59°
40°
Feb
62°
43°
Mar
69°
49°
Apr
77°
57°
May
85°
65°
Jun
91°
70°
Jul
92°
72°
Aug
94°
72°
Sep
88°
68°
Oct
80°
57°
Nov
66°
48°
Dec
62°
43°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Hattiesburg's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F

Around Hattiesburg, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2001: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2019: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2022: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +8 vs the 30-year average1996: −5 vs the 30-year average1997: −19 vs the 30-year average1998: +35 vs the 30-year average1999: +17 vs the 30-year average2000: +42 vs the 30-year average2001: −23 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: −38 vs the 30-year average2004: −36 vs the 30-year average2005: −10 vs the 30-year average2006: +30 vs the 30-year average2007: −12 vs the 30-year average2008: −8 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: +14 vs the 30-year average2011: +36 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: −16 vs the 30-year average2014: −18 vs the 30-year average2015: +13 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: −33 vs the 30-year average2018: −2 vs the 30-year average2019: +22 vs the 30-year average2020: −27 vs the 30-year average2021: −24 vs the 30-year average2022: +4 vs the 30-year average2023: +26 vs the 30-year average2024: +22 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

5 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +11 vs the 30-year average1997: −5 vs the 30-year average1998: −10 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: +4 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +0 vs the 30-year average2003: +13 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: −4 vs the 30-year average2007: −5 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +7 vs the 30-year average2010: +25 vs the 30-year average2011: +2 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: +3 vs the 30-year average2014: +11 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: −8 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: −9 vs the 30-year average2020: −11 vs the 30-year average2021: −11 vs the 30-year average2022: +14 vs the 30-year average2023: −10 vs the 30-year average2024: −2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: +0% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +0% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: +0% vs the 30-year average2002: +0% vs the 30-year average2003: +0% vs the 30-year average2004: +0% vs the 30-year average2005: +0% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: −6% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +0% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: +0% vs the 30-year average2014: −6% vs the 30-year average2015: −6% vs the 30-year average2016: +0% vs the 30-year average2017: +0% vs the 30-year average2018: +0% vs the 30-year average2019: +0% vs the 30-year average2020: +0% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: −6% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: +0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.5°F+8+9+6%
1996−1.3°F−5+11+6%
1997−1.4°F−19−5+0%
1998+1.4°F+35−10+6%
1999+0.9°F+17−6+0%
2000+0.7°F+42+4+0%
2001−1.3°F−23−3+0%
2002−0.2°F−4+0+0%
2003−1.3°F−38+13+0%
2004−0.5°F−36−2+0%
2005−0.2°F−10−7+0%
2006+0.7°F+30−4+0%
2007±0.0°F−12−5−6%
2008−1.1°F−8+3+6%
2009−0.9°F−2+7+0%
2010−1.3°F+14+25+0%
2011±0.0°F+36+2+0%
2012+0.7°F−7−11+0%
2013−1.3°F−16+3+0%
2014−1.8°F−18+11−6%
2015+1.1°F+13+3−6%
2016+1.3°F+3−5+0%
2017+0.9°F−33−8+0%
2018+0.4°F−2+1+0%
2019+0.7°F+22−9+0%
2020+0.4°F−27−11+0%
2021−0.4°F−24−11+0%
2022±0.0°F+4+14−6%
2023+2.2°F+26−10−6%
2024+1.8°F+22−2+0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Hattiesburg, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hattiesburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.9 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°77° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°78° to 82°±3%1% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hattiesburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hattiesburg today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Hattiesburg today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Hattiesburg today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Hattiesburg on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hattiesburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hattiesburg (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hattiesburg?
August is typically the warmest month in Hattiesburg, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Hattiesburg get?
The coldest month in Hattiesburg is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Hattiesburg get?
Hattiesburg sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Hattiesburg getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Hattiesburg, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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