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Hagerstown weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 48° · Wind 0 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
47°
Clear
Feels 43° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
48°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for Hagerstown: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 47° Clear · European (ECMWF): 48° Clear.

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Hagerstown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hagerstown weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hagerstown swings 63°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 123 days a year at 77°F or above, 53 of them at 86°F or above, 82 frost nights, and rain on 123 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
40,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
123 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
82 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
123 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hagerstown’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hagerstown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hagerstown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hagerstown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Hagerstown, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hagerstown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hagerstown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
40°
26°
Feb
43°
24°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
64°
42°
May
73°
52°
Jun
82°
59°
Jul
87°
66°
Aug
85°
64°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
65°
46°
Nov
54°
36°
Dec
43°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Hagerstown has changed since 1995

Hagerstown sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Frederick. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Frederick page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hagerstown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Hagerstown today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hagerstown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hagerstown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hagerstown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hagerstown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hagerstown (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hagerstown?
July is typically the warmest month in Hagerstown, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Hagerstown get?
The coldest month in Hagerstown is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Hagerstown get?
Hagerstown sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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