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CheckWeather USGreat Falls

Great Falls weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
64°
Light rain
Feels 63° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Overcast
Feels 60° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Light drizzle
Feels 62° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Great Falls: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 64° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 63° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Great Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Great Falls, MT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Great Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Great Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
20°
Feb
36°
21°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
54°
34°
May
65°
45°
Jun
72°
51°
Jul
86°
60°
Aug
82°
58°
Sep
75°
53°
Oct
60°
40°
Nov
45°
30°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Great Falls?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F93±2.2 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Great Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Great Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Great Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Great Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Great Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Great Falls (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Great Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Great Falls, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Great Falls get?
The coldest month in Great Falls is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Great Falls get?
Great Falls sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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