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Grand Rapids weekend weather

This weekend in Grand Rapids, MI, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 77° across the weekend. Agreement is low — the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range. Rain chance reaches 66% on at least one model.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Heavy drizzle
High 75°·Low 67°·Rain 60%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Showers
High 69°·Low 65°·Rain 60%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light rain
High 78°·Low 68°·Rain 66%

The models are 9° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Partly cloudy
High 81°·Low 64°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
High 78°·Low 61°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
High 81°·Low 66°·Rain 20%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°86° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°85° to 89°±2%45% to 47% chance
Sat±9°69° to 78°±6%60% to 66% chance
Sun±3°78° to 81°±10%10% to 20% chance
Mon±2°82° to 84°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 66%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers — when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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