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CheckWeather USGrand Junction
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Grand Junction weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Grand Junction today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 90°, with a 5% chance of rain.

90°62°
90°61°
85°64°
90°64°
92°64°
92°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Partly cloudy
Feels 81° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Overcast
Feels 78° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 20%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Mainly clear
Feels 83° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 20%

Latest for Grand Junction: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 85° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 86° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 87° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Grand Junction and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
90° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
90° 61°
±5°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
85° 64°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
90° 64°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
92° 64°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 65°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
91° 66°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
86° 65°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 60°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
83° 57°
±6°
Tue
Clear
85° 60°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
91° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
91° 66°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
81° 66°
±6°

Grand Junction, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Grand Junction right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Grand Junction climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
24°
Feb
44°
24°
Mar
52°
29°
Apr
66°
38°
May
78°
48°
Jun
90°
60°
Jul
99°
67°
Aug
93°
65°
Sep
86°
56°
Oct
72°
45°
Nov
50°
30°
Dec
44°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Grand Junction?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F91±2.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°88° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°87° to 92°±2%3% to 5% chance
Mon±5°83° to 88°±42%19% to 61% chance
Tue±5°87° to 92°±9%1% to 10% chance
Wed±4°91° to 94°±2%4% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grand Junction

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Junction today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Grand Junction today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grand Junction today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Grand Junction and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Junction?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grand Junction (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grand Junction?
July is typically the warmest month in Grand Junction, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Grand Junction get?
The coldest month in Grand Junction is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Grand Junction get?
Grand Junction sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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