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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Fullerton weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Fullerton's high today between 73° and 80°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°56°
80°57°
80°62°
77°60°
75°61°
73°62°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Today 77°·Low 56°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 57°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Fullerton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fullerton…

Fullerton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fullerton swings 39°F across the year, from 85°F highs in August to 46°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 14 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 169 days a year at 77°F or above, 66 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 35 days.

Warmest month
August
85°F average high
Coldest month
December
46°F average low
Wettest month
February
14 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
141,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
169 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
35 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fullerton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fullerton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fullerton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fullerton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 56°
±7°
Tomorrow
Clear
80° 57°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
75° 61°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 62°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
70° 62°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
70° 61°
±8°
Sun
Light rain
73° 61°
±16°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 62°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 64°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 62°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 64°
±6°

Fullerton, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 46°F), with roughly 14 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fullerton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fullerton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
47°
Feb
65°
48°
Mar
66°
51°
Apr
72°
52°
May
74°
57°
Jun
79°
61°
Jul
84°
61°
Aug
85°
63°
Sep
84°
64°
Oct
79°
55°
Nov
73°
52°
Dec
64°
46°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fullerton has changed since 1995

Fullerton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fullerton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
75±2.5°F91±2.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
74
/100rank #2
41±5.9°F96±1.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°73° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±5°77° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fullerton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fullerton today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Fullerton's high today between 73° and 80°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fullerton today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fullerton on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fullerton?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Fullerton (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fullerton?
August is typically the warmest month in Fullerton, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Fullerton get?
The coldest month in Fullerton is December, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Fullerton get?
Fullerton sees roughly 14 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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