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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Florence-Graham weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Florence-Graham's high today between 75° and 82°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°55°
79°59°
78°62°
76°61°
74°61°
73°62°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Clear
Today 75°·Low 58°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 56°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Partly cloudy
Today 75°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Florence-Graham weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Florence-Graham weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Florence-Graham swings 43°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 44°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 184 days a year at 77°F or above, 80 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 35 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
December
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
15 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
63,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
184 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
35 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Florence-Graham’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Florence-Graham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Florence-Graham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Florence-Graham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 55°
±7°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 61°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 61°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 62°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 62°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
69° 61°
±7°
Sun
Light rain
73° 61°
±15°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 62°
±16°
Tue
Cloudy
74° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
75° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
76° 63°
models agree

Florence-Graham, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 44°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Florence-Graham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Florence-Graham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
46°
Feb
65°
47°
Mar
67°
50°
Apr
73°
51°
May
76°
59°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
87°
62°
Aug
87°
63°
Sep
85°
64°
Oct
80°
55°
Nov
73°
49°
Dec
65°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Florence-Graham has changed since 1995

Florence-Graham sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Florence-Graham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F92±2.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°75° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±5°77° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°72° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Florence-Graham

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Florence-Graham today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Florence-Graham's high today between 75° and 82°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Florence-Graham today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Florence-Graham on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Florence-Graham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Florence-Graham (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Florence-Graham?
July is typically the warmest month in Florence-Graham, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Florence-Graham get?
The coldest month in Florence-Graham is December, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Florence-Graham get?
Florence-Graham sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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