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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Flint weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Flint today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 76°, with a 2% chance of rain.

78°61°
76°57°
77°55°
81°58°
79°69°
77°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 61°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 62°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 57%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Flint and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
78° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
76° 57°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 58°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 69°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 61°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 55°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
83° 62°
±11°
Sun
Light rain
80° 61°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 58°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 53°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 48°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 50°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
72° 51°
±5°

Flint, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Flint right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Flint climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
23°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
46°
29°
Apr
60°
39°
May
72°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
78°
60°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
48°
35°
Dec
39°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Flint?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°76° to 79°±51%6% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±3°75° to 77°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±4°76° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°81° to 81°models agree6% to 6% chance
Wed±8°74° to 81°±24%50% to 74% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flint

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
20:02
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flint today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Flint today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flint today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Flint and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flint?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flint (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flint?
July is typically the warmest month in Flint, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Flint get?
The coldest month in Flint is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Flint get?
Flint sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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