Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

Ferndale weather

Loading live data…

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
40°
Overcast
Feels 37° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
39°
Overcast
Feels 34° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
46°
Overcast
Feels 43° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 80%

Latest for Ferndale: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 40° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 39° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 46° Overcast.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Ferndale weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Ferndale…

Ferndale weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ferndale swings 36°F across the year, from 70°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 77°F or above, 39 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
July
70°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
November
45 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
7 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
39 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
155 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ferndale’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ferndale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Ferndale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Ferndale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Ferndale, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 70°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ferndale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ferndale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
44°
34°
Feb
45°
36°
Mar
50°
37°
Apr
54°
42°
May
60°
48°
Jun
65°
53°
Jul
70°
54°
Aug
70°
55°
Sep
65°
52°
Oct
57°
45°
Nov
50°
40°
Dec
43°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ferndale has changed since 1995

Ferndale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bellingham. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Bellingham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ferndale today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ferndale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ferndale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ferndale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ferndale?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Ferndale forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Ferndale?
July is typically the warmest month in Ferndale, with average highs around 70°F.
How cold does Ferndale get?
The coldest month in Ferndale is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Ferndale get?
Ferndale sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather