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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Federal Way weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Federal Way today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 71°, with a 2% chance of rain.

68°50°
71°51°
68°54°
73°50°
78°52°
71°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Partly cloudy
Today 69°·Low 52°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 49°·Rain 12%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Light drizzle
Today 66°·Low 48°·Rain 22%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Federal Way and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
68° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 51°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 54°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
73° 50°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
78° 52°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 55°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 52°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
72° 51°
±8°
Sun
Clear
77° 51°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 53°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
75° 55°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 52°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 53°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
68° 52°
±6°

Federal Way, WA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 34°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Federal Way right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Federal Way climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
46°
35°
Feb
47°
34°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
55°
39°
May
65°
47°
Jun
70°
50°
Jul
81°
56°
Aug
78°
57°
Sep
70°
52°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
50°
38°
Dec
48°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Federal Way?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F94±1.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°66° to 70°±10%12% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±1°71° to 72°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±2°67° to 68°±38%7% to 45% chance
Tue±6°71° to 76°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±6°75° to 81°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Federal Way

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Federal Way today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Federal Way today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Federal Way today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Federal Way and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Federal Way?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Federal Way (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Federal Way?
July is typically the warmest month in Federal Way, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Federal Way get?
The coldest month in Federal Way is February, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Federal Way get?
Federal Way sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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