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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Farmington weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Farmington today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 90°, with a 4% chance of rain.

87°61°
90°59°
87°65°
89°65°
92°66°
91°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Partly cloudy
Today 86°·Low 64°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 59°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Cloudy
Today 87°·Low 61°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Farmington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
87° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
90° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
87° 65°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
89° 65°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
92° 66°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
91° 64°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
91° 65°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
85° 67°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 62°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 62°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 62°
±8°
Wed
Clear
88° 64°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 65°
±10°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
71° 62°
models agree

Farmington, NM is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Farmington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Farmington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
17°
Feb
44°
20°
Mar
52°
29°
Apr
67°
37°
May
77°
49°
Jun
87°
58°
Jul
95°
65°
Aug
89°
63°
Sep
81°
54°
Oct
71°
43°
Nov
52°
28°
Dec
42°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Farmington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F90±3.1 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°86° to 88°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°models agree4% to 4% chance
Mon±2°86° to 88°±22%6% to 28% chance
Tue±3°88° to 91°±5%3% to 8% chance
Wed±4°90° to 94°±2%14% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Farmington

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Farmington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Farmington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Farmington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Farmington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Farmington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Farmington (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Farmington?
July is typically the warmest month in Farmington, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Farmington get?
The coldest month in Farmington is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Farmington get?
Farmington sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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