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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Fairmont weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Fairmont today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain.

66°40°
66°39°
67°40°
67°43°
68°47°
70°45°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Mostly clear
Today 66°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Mostly clear
Today 66°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Mostly clear
Today 66°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
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Fairmont weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fairmont and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fairmont hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fairmont 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
66° 40°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
66° 39°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 40°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
67° 43°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
68° 47°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
70° 45°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
68° 45°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
71° 45°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
69° 50°
±6°
Mon
Light rain
62° 47°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
57° 40°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
51° 35°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 35°
±10°

Fairmont is a small town of about 19,000 people in West Virginia (WV), sitting at 39.5°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Fairmont with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Grafton, Morgantown, Bridgeport.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Fairmont has changed since 1995

Fairmont sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Morgantown. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Morgantown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°66° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°65° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°67° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°66° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°65° to 70°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fairmont

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
18:28
Daylight
10h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fairmont today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Fairmont today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fairmont today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Fairmont on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fairmont?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Fairmont forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

Nearby

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