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Fair Oaks Ranch weather

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Fair Oaks Ranch weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Fair Oaks Ranch weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Fair Oaks Ranch swings 52°F across the year, from 93°F highs in August to 41°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
41°F average low
Wettest month
June
38 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,407
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fair Oaks Ranch and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fair Oaks Ranch hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fair Oaks Ranch 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fair Oaks Ranch right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fair Oaks Ranch climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
60°
41°
Feb
64°
45°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
76°
57°
May
82°
64°
Jun
88°
68°
Jul
91°
70°
Aug
93°
71°
Sep
85°
65°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
67°
49°
Dec
60°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fair Oaks Ranch has changed since 1995

Fair Oaks Ranch sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Antonio. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Antonio page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Fair Oaks Ranch today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fair Oaks Ranch today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fair Oaks Ranch today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fair Oaks Ranch and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fair Oaks Ranch?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Fair Oaks Ranch forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Fair Oaks Ranch?
August is typically the warmest month in Fair Oaks Ranch, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Fair Oaks Ranch get?
The coldest month in Fair Oaks Ranch is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Fair Oaks Ranch get?
Fair Oaks Ranch sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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