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CheckWeather USEvansville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Evansville weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Evansville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 90°, with a 1% chance of rain.

100°76°
90°75°
88°66°
94°69°
98°75°
86°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Showers
Today 100°·Low 77°·Rain 21%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Partly cloudy
Today 101°·Low 75°·Rain 21%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 28%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Evansville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
100° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
90° 75°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
88° 66°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
94° 69°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
98° 75°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
86° 72°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 67°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 69°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 72°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
88° 68°
±25°
Tue
Drizzle
79° 61°
±10°
Wed
Clear
77° 55°
models agree
Thu
Clear
78° 55°
models agree
Fri
Clear
78° 56°
models agree

Evansville, IN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Evansville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Evansville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
59°
40°
Apr
69°
49°
May
79°
60°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
86°
69°
Sep
82°
64°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
59°
43°
Dec
49°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Evansville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
67±3.3°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°99° to 101°±7%21% to 28% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°87° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°92° to 95°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°96° to 100°±3%9% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Evansville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Evansville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Evansville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Evansville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Evansville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Evansville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Evansville (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Evansville?
July is typically the warmest month in Evansville, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Evansville get?
The coldest month in Evansville is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Evansville get?
Evansville sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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