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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

El Monte weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put El Monte's high today between 75° and 80°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°54°
80°56°
80°61°
79°60°
77°60°
74°62°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Mainly clear
Feels 56° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Overcast
Feels 53° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 99%

Latest for El Monte: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 56° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Overcast.

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El Monte weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering El Monte…

El Monte weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

El Monte swings 48°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 42°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 20 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 195 days a year at 77°F or above, 105 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 38 days.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
December
42°F average low
Wettest month
February
20 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
117,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
195 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
38 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for El Monte’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Monte and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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El Monte hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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El Monte 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 54°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
80° 56°
models agree
Mon
Clear
80° 61°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
79° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 60°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
70° 61°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
69° 60°
±8°
Sun
Light rain
73° 61°
±18°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 61°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 64°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
76° 63°
±4°

El Monte, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 42°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Monte right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Monte climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
64°
45°
Mar
66°
49°
Apr
74°
50°
May
78°
56°
Jun
83°
60°
Jul
90°
60°
Aug
90°
63°
Sep
87°
63°
Oct
81°
53°
Nov
73°
47°
Dec
63°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around El Monte has changed since 1995

El Monte sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in El Monte?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F90±3.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°75° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°80° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°77° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°74° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in El Monte

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in El Monte today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put El Monte's high today between 75° and 80°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in El Monte today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in El Monte on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Monte?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Monte (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Monte?
July is typically the warmest month in El Monte, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does El Monte get?
The coldest month in El Monte is December, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does El Monte get?
El Monte sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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