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CheckWeather USEl Monte
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

El Monte weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put El Monte's high today between 88° and 95°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 80°, with a 95% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

92°63°
80°70°
91°69°
93°73°
98°75°
97°76°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Mostly clear
Today 88°·Low 64°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Partly cloudy
Today 95°·Low 62°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 64°·Rain 35%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Monte and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
92° 63°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light rain
80° 70°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
93° 73°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
98° 75°
±8°
Thu
Clear
97° 76°
±7°
Fri
Clear
90° 73°
models agree
Sat
Clear
86° 70°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
87° 69°
±5°
Mon
Clear
89° 69°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 70°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
93° 75°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
90° 73°
±7°
Fri
Clear
90° 72°
±11°

El Monte, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 43°F), with roughly 31 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Monte right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Monte climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
44°
Feb
62°
43°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
73°
49°
May
75°
53°
Jun
81°
58°
Jul
92°
62°
Aug
91°
64°
Sep
86°
62°
Oct
84°
56°
Nov
74°
48°
Dec
68°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in El Monte?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
96
/100rank #2
94±0.6°F93±2.2 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°88° to 95°±35%0% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±9°76° to 85°±47%48% to 95% chance
Mon±9°88° to 98°±18%3% to 21% chance
Tue±7°90° to 97°±6%6% to 12% chance
Wed±8°94° to 102°±1%10% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in El Monte

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in El Monte today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for El Monte today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in El Monte today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for El Monte and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Monte?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Monte (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 96. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Monte?
July is typically the warmest month in El Monte, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does El Monte get?
The coldest month in El Monte is February, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does El Monte get?
El Monte sees roughly 31 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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