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CheckWeather USEau Claire
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Eau Claire weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Eau Claire today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 83°, with a 4% chance of rain.

81°69°
83°63°
81°65°
81°64°
79°62°
78°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 68°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Fog
Today 82°·Low 69°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Eau Claire and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
83° 63°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
81° 65°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
81° 64°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 62°
±12°
Thu
Mostly clear
78° 56°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
84° 60°
±17°
Sat
Drizzle
78° 62°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
67° 56°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 50°
±8°
Tue
Light rain
69° 51°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 52°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 55°
models agree

Eau Claire, WI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Eau Claire right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Eau Claire climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
15°
Feb
37°
17°
Mar
42°
23°
Apr
55°
35°
May
70°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
80°
61°
Aug
79°
61°
Sep
76°
57°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
44°
30°
Dec
35°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Eau Claire?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 82°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±5°81° to 86°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±5°78° to 84°±8%6% to 14% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±27%71% to 98% chance
Wed±12°75° to 87°±17%39% to 56% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Eau Claire

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Eau Claire today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Eau Claire today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Eau Claire today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Eau Claire and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Eau Claire?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Eau Claire (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Eau Claire?
July is typically the warmest month in Eau Claire, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Eau Claire get?
The coldest month in Eau Claire is January, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Eau Claire get?
Eau Claire sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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