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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

East Honolulu weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in East Honolulu today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 78°, with a 29% chance of rain.

79°75°
78°74°
78°73°
76°71°
77°75°
78°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Overcast
Feels 79° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 77%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Overcast
Feels 78° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for East Honolulu: American (NOAA GFS): 76° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 77° Overcast.

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East Honolulu weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering East Honolulu…

East Honolulu weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

East Honolulu swings 16°F across the year, from 83°F highs in September to 67°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 319 days a year at 77°F or above, 1 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 197 days.

Warmest month
September
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
67°F average low
Wettest month
December
35 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
50,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
68/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
319 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
197 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for East Honolulu’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around East Honolulu and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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East Honolulu hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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East Honolulu 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
79° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
78° 74°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
78° 73°
models agree
Tue
Heavy showers
76° 71°
models agree
Wed
Showers
77° 75°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
78° 76°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
77° 76°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 75°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
80° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 75°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 75°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
78° 75°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
78° 74°
models agree

East Honolulu, Hawaii (HI) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 67°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for East Honolulu right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

East Honolulu climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
76°
67°
Feb
76°
69°
Mar
77°
69°
Apr
77°
70°
May
78°
71°
Jun
80°
73°
Jul
81°
74°
Aug
82°
75°
Sep
83°
75°
Oct
82°
74°
Nov
79°
73°
Dec
76°
69°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How East Honolulu's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F

Around East Honolulu, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2019.

1995: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average1996: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2000: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2004: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2011: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2012: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2014: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2019: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 77°F

68 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −22 vs the 30-year average1996: −10 vs the 30-year average1997: −30 vs the 30-year average1998: −100 vs the 30-year average1999: −87 vs the 30-year average2000: −60 vs the 30-year average2001: −30 vs the 30-year average2002: −15 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: +30 vs the 30-year average2005: +19 vs the 30-year average2006: −24 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: −8 vs the 30-year average2009: −7 vs the 30-year average2010: +5 vs the 30-year average2011: +0 vs the 30-year average2012: −61 vs the 30-year average2013: +14 vs the 30-year average2014: +12 vs the 30-year average2015: +19 vs the 30-year average2016: +41 vs the 30-year average2017: +36 vs the 30-year average2018: −10 vs the 30-year average2019: +28 vs the 30-year average2020: +50 vs the 30-year average2021: +32 vs the 30-year average2022: +51 vs the 30-year average2023: +60 vs the 30-year average2024: +54 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−7%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3% vs the 30-year average1996: −1% vs the 30-year average1997: +4% vs the 30-year average1998: +12% vs the 30-year average1999: +13% vs the 30-year average2000: +9% vs the 30-year average2001: +9% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: +0% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +7% vs the 30-year average2008: −3% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: +0% vs the 30-year average2011: +3% vs the 30-year average2012: +4% vs the 30-year average2013: −7% vs the 30-year average2014: −10% vs the 30-year average2015: −7% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: −10% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −7% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: +6% vs the 30-year average2022: −6% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >77°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.5°F−22−3%
1996±0.0°F−10−1%
1997−0.3°F−30+4%
1998−1.4°F−100+12%
1999−1.6°F−87+13%
2000−1.2°F−60+9%
2001−0.5°F−30+9%
2002−0.5°F−15−1%
2003+0.2°F+2+0%
2004+0.7°F+30−3%
2005±0.0°F+19+3%
2006−0.2°F−24+1%
2007+0.2°F−1+7%
2008−0.2°F−8−3%
2009−0.5°F−7−3%
2010−0.5°F+5+0%
2011−0.3°F+0+3%
2012−0.9°F−61+4%
2013−0.2°F+14−7%
2014+0.6°F+12−10%
2015+0.7°F+19−7%
2016+0.4°F+41−4%
2017+0.6°F+36−10%
2018+0.2°F−10−3%
2019+1.3°F+28−7%
2020+1.1°F+50−1%
2021+0.2°F+32+6%
2022+0.9°F+51−6%
2023+0.9°F+60−3%
2024+0.9°F+54+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around East Honolulu, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in East Honolulu?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
68
/100rank #1
72±2.8°F92±2.4 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
66
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F89±3.5 mph4771% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree79° to 79°±3%13% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±2°77° to 79°±16%13% to 29% chance
Monmodels agree78° to 78°±27%8% to 35% chance
Tue±4°74° to 78°±45%43% to 88% chance
Wed±3°76° to 79°±20%70% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in East Honolulu

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in East Honolulu today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in East Honolulu today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 78°, with a 29% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in East Honolulu today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in East Honolulu on Sunday, October 25: American 29%, European 13%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for East Honolulu?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for East Honolulu (CheckWeather Score 68/100), ahead of the European at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in East Honolulu?
September is typically the warmest month in East Honolulu, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does East Honolulu get?
The coldest month in East Honolulu is January, when overnight lows average about 67°F.
How much rain does East Honolulu get?
East Honolulu sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is East Honolulu getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around East Honolulu, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.

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