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CheckWeather USDubuque
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Dubuque weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Dubuque's high today between 82° and 87°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 83°, with a 1% chance of rain.

84°71°
83°65°
81°61°
86°64°
83°69°
79°61°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Light drizzle
Today 87°·Low 72°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Fog
Today 82°·Low 68°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 72°·Rain 45%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dubuque and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
84° 71°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
83° 65°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
81° 61°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
86° 64°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
83° 69°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 61°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 60°
±15°
Sat
Drizzle
82° 65°
models agree
Sun
Rain
72° 62°
±11°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
68° 55°
±12°
Tue
Drizzle
69° 52°
±14°
Wed
Clear
71° 49°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 52°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 56°
models agree

Dubuque, IA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dubuque right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dubuque climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
18°
Feb
42°
22°
Mar
48°
29°
Apr
59°
40°
May
73°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
82°
64°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
38°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dubuque?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F95±1.6 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°82° to 87°±40%5% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±7°80° to 87°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±5°78° to 84°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°85° to 88°models agree39% to 39% chance
Wed±7°79° to 86°±11%77% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dubuque

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dubuque today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dubuque today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dubuque today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dubuque and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dubuque?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dubuque (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dubuque?
July is typically the warmest month in Dubuque, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Dubuque get?
The coldest month in Dubuque is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Dubuque get?
Dubuque sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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