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CheckWeather USDowntown DC
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Downtown DC weather

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Light rain,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Downtown DC today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 84°, with a 7% chance of rain.

84°73°
84°66°
83°64°
87°65°
92°67°
93°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Light rain
Today 83°·Low 74°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Cloudy
Today 84°·Low 72°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Light drizzle
Today 84°·Low 72°·Rain 53%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Downtown DC and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
84° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
84° 66°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 64°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
87° 65°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
92° 67°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
93° 73°
±10°
Fri
Partly cloudy
86° 70°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
87° 68°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
91° 71°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 72°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
84° 68°
±25°
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 65°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
76° 64°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
73° 61°
±13°

Downtown DC is a town of about 53,000 people in DC, sitting at 38.9°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Downtown DC with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mount Vernon Triangle, Northwest One, Washington.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown DC?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F98±0.8 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F95±1.5 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°±38%15% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±3°83° to 85°±6%1% to 7% chance
Mon±2°82° to 84°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°85° to 88°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±5°89° to 94°±13%1% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown DC

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown DC today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Downtown DC today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Downtown DC today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Downtown DC and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown DC?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown DC (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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