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CheckWeather US›Downtown DC
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Downtown DC weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Downtown DC today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain.

63°42°
66°44°
69°45°
68°53°
63°48°
69°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
64°
Mostly clear
Today 64°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
63°
Mostly clear
Today 63°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Clear
Today 61°·Low 44°·Rain 0%
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Downtown DC weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Downtown DC and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Downtown DC hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Downtown DC 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
63° 42°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
66° 44°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 45°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
72° 51°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
70° 51°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
66° 51°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
63° 56°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
56° 44°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
61° 41°
±6°

Downtown DC is a town of about 53,000 people in District of Columbia (DC), sitting at 38.9°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Downtown DC with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mount Vernon Triangle, Northwest One, Washington.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Downtown DC has changed since 1995

Downtown DC sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Washington. That square ran 2.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Washington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown DC?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F96±1.1 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°65° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°69° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°67° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°61° to 65°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown DC

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown DC today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 63° in Downtown DC today. Tomorrow: clear, around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Downtown DC today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Downtown DC on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown DC?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown DC (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More US weather