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CheckWeather USDothan
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Dothan weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Dothan today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 95°, with a 78% chance of rain.

90°74°
95°75°
89°73°
89°73°
88°73°
89°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Drizzle
Today 89°·Low 75°·Rain 31%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 73°·Rain 31%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 73°·Rain 76%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dothan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
90° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
95° 75°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
89° 73°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
89° 73°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 73°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
89° 73°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 73°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
91° 73°
models agree
Sun
Showers
91° 73°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 74°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 73°
±6°
Wed
Rain
85° 71°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 68°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 67°
models agree

Dothan, AL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dothan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dothan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
43°
Feb
68°
48°
Mar
72°
53°
Apr
79°
58°
May
85°
66°
Jun
90°
71°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
95°
76°
Sep
86°
70°
Oct
78°
59°
Nov
70°
53°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dothan?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.7 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F93±2.3 mph035% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°89° to 91°±45%31% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±2°94° to 96°±55%23% to 78% chance
Mon±4°87° to 91°±42%42% to 84% chance
Tue±1°89° to 90°±24%37% to 61% chance
Wed±2°87° to 90°±25%41% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dothan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dothan today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dothan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dothan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dothan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dothan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dothan (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dothan?
August is typically the warmest month in Dothan, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Dothan get?
The coldest month in Dothan is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Dothan get?
Dothan sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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