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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Decatur weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Decatur today. Tomorrow: clear, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

74°52°
73°51°
73°51°
75°51°
74°54°
75°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
54°
Clear
Feels 51° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
51°
Clear
Feels 47° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 63%

Latest for Decatur: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 54° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 51° Clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Decatur weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Decatur…

Decatur weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Decatur swings 54°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 165 days a year at 77°F or above, 85 of them at 86°F or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
December
54 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
55,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
165 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
30 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
134 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Decatur’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Decatur and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Decatur hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Decatur 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
74° 52°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
73° 51°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
75° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 52°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
78° 52°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
77° 57°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 61°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
73° 53°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
68° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
68° 49°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
68° 49°
±14°

Decatur, Alabama (AL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Decatur right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Decatur climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
50°
34°
Feb
55°
37°
Mar
63°
44°
Apr
70°
52°
May
80°
61°
Jun
87°
68°
Jul
88°
72°
Aug
88°
71°
Sep
82°
66°
Oct
73°
54°
Nov
60°
44°
Dec
53°
37°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Decatur has changed since 1995

Decatur sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Huntsville. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Huntsville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Decatur?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F94±2.0 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°74° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°73° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°72° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°75° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°73° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Decatur

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Decatur today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Decatur today. Tomorrow: clear, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Decatur today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Decatur on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Decatur?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Decatur (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Decatur?
July is typically the warmest month in Decatur, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Decatur get?
The coldest month in Decatur is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Decatur get?
Decatur sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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