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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Davis weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Davis today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

73°51°
73°46°
71°49°
69°46°
66°48°
66°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
52°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 41%
EuropeanECMWF
54°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 48%

Latest for Davis: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 52° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 54° Clear.

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Davis weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Davis…

Davis weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Davis swings 59°F across the year, from 99°F highs in July to 40°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 180 days a year at 77°F or above, 127 of them at 86°F or above, 5 frost nights, and rain on 55 days.

Warmest month
July
99°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
68,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
180 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
5 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
55 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Davis’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Davis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Davis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Davis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
73° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 46°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
71° 49°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
69° 46°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
66° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
66° 47°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 48°
±13°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 46°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
68° 47°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
67° 49°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 54°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 50°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
69° 56°
±10°

Davis, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Davis right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Davis climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
41°
Feb
60°
42°
Mar
63°
45°
Apr
72°
46°
May
84°
55°
Jun
93°
60°
Jul
99°
61°
Aug
94°
60°
Sep
90°
58°
Oct
79°
51°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
56°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Davis has changed since 1995

Davis sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vacaville. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vacaville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Davis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
93
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F97±1.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°73° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°73° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°69° to 72°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°69° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°66° to 67°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Davis

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Davis today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Davis today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Davis today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Davis on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Davis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Davis (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Davis?
July is typically the warmest month in Davis, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Davis get?
The coldest month in Davis is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Davis get?
Davis sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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