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Conneaut weather

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Conneaut weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Conneaut weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Conneaut swings 55°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 22°F lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 59 days a year at 77°F or above, 4 of them at 86°F or above, 93 frost nights, and rain on 169 days.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
22°F average low
Wettest month
September
47 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
59 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
93 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
169 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Conneaut’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Conneaut and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Conneaut hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Conneaut 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Conneaut, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 22°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Conneaut right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Conneaut climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
23°
Feb
37°
22°
Mar
42°
29°
Apr
53°
38°
May
62°
48°
Jun
72°
58°
Jul
77°
65°
Aug
75°
64°
Sep
69°
57°
Oct
59°
47°
Nov
48°
37°
Dec
38°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Conneaut has changed since 1995

Conneaut sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ashtabula. That square ran 2.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Ashtabula page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Conneaut today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Conneaut today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Conneaut today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Conneaut and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Conneaut?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Conneaut forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Conneaut?
July is typically the warmest month in Conneaut, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Conneaut get?
The coldest month in Conneaut is February, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Conneaut get?
Conneaut sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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